The demographics of inceldom reveal a diverse population of incels.
As the GSS, NHANES survey on the top-right shows, Asians have the highest rates of celibacy out of any prominent race in the USA.
Non-Mexican-Hispanics have the second highest rates of celibacy.
|Race||Reddit, U.S., Pew Research 2019||Reddit, U.S., /r/Braincels 2019||incels.co, 2019|
However, international incels.co stats are not directly comparable to U.S. Reddit and Braincels stats. Academics did some deeper digging and concluded there was no good evidence that incels.co was even mostly white, despite looking at the aforementioned internal polling of incels.co.
There is no definite evidence that Incels.me users are predominantly white, contrary to what is often reported about incels
—Sylvia Jaki, Tom De Smedt, Maja Gwóźdź, Rudresh Panchal, Alexander Rossa, Guy De Pauw
Growth in Numbers
U.S. Inceldom at all-time high
The share of men under 30 who aren't having sex has nearly tripled to 28% in 2018 in the past decade according to the Washington Post using data from the General Social Survey.
A study by Poortman and Liebroer found that roughly only 4% of singles prefer being single over having a relationship. If we are to subtract volcels from this number, we arrive at roughly 24% of American being incel. As different studies show slightly different numbers, and 24% may be too confident of a guess given the available evidece, we conclude the % American young men being incel to be somewhere between 20 and 30%.
More U.S. young adults not in relationships
The share of people between the ages of 18 to 34 in the USA who do not have a stable partner has now risen to 51%, up from 35% in 1986. Meaning only 49% have a partner. Source: General Social Survey
Studies show most male celibates are involuntarily so
In other words, studies show most male celibates are incel. This is because less than 1% of people are asexual, only roughly 4% of singles preferred their singlehood over being in a relationship, about 28% of men are celibate year-over-year, and the Hatfield and Clark experiment which proved the vast majority of men would accept random sexual invitations from strange women.
There exist earlier studies showing smaller rates of inceldom.
Professor Simon DeDeo estimated there were 700,000 incels in the U.S for men over 25 years old, while for those over 18, the number is 1.3 million. Among American vicenarians, women were 10% more sexually active than men.
A 2012 report by The Centers for Disease Control claimed that within the past year roughly six per cent of men ages 25 to 44 have not had any sexual partners. The Washington Post correlated this figure within inceldom; thus making roughly 6% of that age group virginal incelibates (per Washington Post).
This graph from Lyman Stone of the Institute for Family Studies that shows that male 12-month celibacy between the ages of 22-35 grew to around 14% of young men as of 2016.
Up to 40% of those 18-24 were virgins in Australia in 2020. In Australia, inceldom may be rising among those over the age of 18, but may not be for those younger. For much more detail, see: Australia.
|Age||Virgin||No sex last year %||Sex less than 1/year %||No answer %|
China (as well as India) have some of the largest surplus of males and hence a huge number of male incels which is thought to even aggravate in the coming decades and is thought to become a substantial threat to social stability. There are now an excess of 70 million males in China and India. The Washington Post produced an article with impressive visualizations of the problem.
According to Project SEXUS 2017/2018, among 25-34 year olds, 5% of men compared to 3% of women, never had sex since they were 15 (N = 3495, p = 0.0025), however for older groups there were no sex differences.
In Finland, rates of sexlessness and masturbation have substantially increased in recent years, affecting especially men aged 30–40. Further, the number of young men having more than two sex partners decreased for men, but remained stable for women (see the figure below).
Sexlessness is on the rise in France as well. For men under thirty, a decrease in the mean sex partners was seen from 10.4 in 1992 and 7.7 in 2006 (p < 0.00001), but for women in the same age group there was no change. The number of lifetime reported sexual partners for all ages was fairly stable in the recent 50 years (11.8 in 1970, 11.0 in 1992, and 11.6 in 2006). For women, mean lifetime number of partners increased from (1.8 in 1970, 3.3 in 1992, 4.4 in 2006), which may be related to women lying less about their number of partners. That women lie about this is evident as women should have just as many lifetime sex partners as men.
Stats on German celibacy are unfortunately out of date, but a 1996 survey showed that around 13% of young adult, male Germans were virgins. For much more detail, see: Germany.
|Age||Male Virgin||Female virgin||Female - celibate during year polled||Male Single||Female Single|
|18-30||13.7% (1996)||7.5% (1996)||60.4% (2008)||35.6% (2008)|
|20-35||6% (2008)||4% (2008)|
|28-30||8.4% (1996)||2% (1996)|
|18-91||33% (2005), 38% (2016)|
Similar to the rest of the world, young men suffer far higher rates of inceldom than women. Whereas as women usually lose their virginity during their teens, men are more likely to lose it in their twenties in India. Statistics also show that the rates of inceldom for men are higher in the south of India than the north.
Japan has among the highest rates of incels and has had them for quite a while. As of 2019, 10% of 30 year olds have no sexual experience. 24.6% of 18-39-year-old women have no heterosexual experience, up from 21.7% in 1992. For men it increased from 20% to 25.8%. Sex differences are remarkably small. In 2016, a government survey found evidence of 541,000 hikikomori living in a country of 127 million people. Unsurprisingly and according to a Durex survey from 2009, Japan was along with China the least sexually satisfied nation, with just 24% being satisfied with their sex lives compared to a global average of 44.12±7.68. The survey by Durex has been criticized for potentially biased sampling, but a similar result was found by a Japanese sex toy company in 2019 (though with China being much more satisfied). Another study found between 1992 and 2015, the age-standardized proportion of 18-39-year-old Japanese adults who were single had increased, from 27.4 to 40.7% among women and from 40.3 to 50.8% among men.
The gender that is most affected by inceldom can depend on location time and specific circumstances. For example, some reports claim that during the Paraguay War, 90% of the male population was killed. Another report claimed that out of a population of 221,000 in 1871, only about 28,000 were male. In laymen's terms, the turn of the 1870s decade was one where 9 in 10 humans in Paraguay were female and only 1 in 10 was male. Assuming a heterosexual model, this created a situation in the late 1860s Paraguay wherein femcels probably outnumbered malecels due to a massively lopsided sex-ratio.
In a survey from 2017, among 25-39 year olds, 8% (N = 427) of men but only 4% (N = 687) of women never had sex which is significantly different (Chi² = 8.053, p = 0.0045). Among 18-24 year olds, it was 25% (N = 4934) of men and 19% (N = 8216) of women, also significantly different (Chi² = 66.3, p < 0.0001).
One Norwegian study showed "the proportion of childless men (at age 40 years) has increased rapidly for Norwegian male cohorts from 1940 to 1970 (from 15% to 25%). For women, it has only increased marginally (from 10% to 13%)" which points to serial monogamy. Personality traits have also become increasingly important for male fertility. As in the other countries, the result points to a greater prevalence of male incels than female incels. In a survey conducted by Durex in 2006, inhabitants of the Scandinavian countries were the most likely to state they wanted more sex. 52-53% wanted more sex vs a global average 36.12±8.33.
The rate of U.K. incels has also risen considerably. Among 26-year-old millennials (born 1989–1990), i.e. in 2016, 12.5% had no sexual experience, but in previous generations it was only 5% at the same age. In a survey by YouGov from 2019, around 18% of men said they had no close friends. Only 12% of women said the same.
Hatfield and Clark controversy
In the Hatfield and Clark study, certain students were asked to randomly approach members of the opposite gender if they wanted to have sex right now. Women accepted the casual sex offers 0% percent of the time in that study. While men accepted the casual sex offers 75% of the time when the offer was the most direct while the rest of the men apologized or gave valid excuses. This is just when men were asked at random by a random women too. The number would be even higher for both genders in less casual circumstances most likely.
Some feminists have claimed to reject (whatever rejected means in the face of such blatant facts) the methodology of the Hatfield and Clark study stating that the women do not know if they will orgasm or not and they do not know the men. It is not that brilliant of an observation though, as we already know women would have male-like acceptance of casual sex offers if the male offering were a celebrity. Women like status. A lot. Van Halen had fucking sex tents set up at his performances. The stadium janitor goes home jacking off to gangbang porn while crying.
Sexual minority vs sexual majoritarian issue
There is debate over whether inceldom only affects a minority of men or whether it effects most men.
Statistics mentioned above suggests inceldom is something that primarily affects men. Inceldom rates have been growing for both singletons and married men while it has remained stable for women. According to the General Social Survey (GSS) data, a greater share of men are sexless, both among wedders and nonwedders.
With inceldom near tripling in a decade and steady partnerships almost cut in half for those btw 18-35ish as shown above, we can see that inceldom issues are approaching a majoritarian issue. But with 51% of young adults without a partner, we can safely conclude that the amount of people sympathetic to incels due to their own situation may now be a majority of young adults.
However, due to the small majority of young adult without a partner, there is debate in the incelosphere as to whether inceldom is a sexual minority issue or a majoritarian issue.
- Black Incelosphere
- Majority incel theory
- Racial demographics of incels
- Ghaznavi C, Sakamoto, H, et al. 2020. The herbivore’s dilemma: Trends in and factors associated with heterosexual relationship status and interest in romantic relationships among young adults in Japan—Analysis of national surveys, 1987–2015. Article Discussion
- Shaw, Karl (2005) . Power Mad! [Šílenství mocných] (in Czech). Praha: Metafora. ISBN 978-80-7359-002-4.
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